| rdf:type | <https://jpsearch.go.jp/term/type/資料一般> |
| rdfs:label | "Environmental Foresight and Models: A Manifesto" |
| schema:name | "Environmental Foresight and Models: A Manifesto" @ja |
| ns0:accessInfo | #accessinfo |
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| schema:contributor | <https://jpsearch.go.jp/entity/ncname/M.B._Beck> (➜ "M.B. Beck") |
| schema:dateCreated | "2002" |
| schema:description 3 | "Source: Development in Environmental Modelling, Vol. 22" |
| schema:description | "公開者: Oxford, UK" |
| schema:description | "内容記述: PART I. THE MANIFESTO: Chapter 1. Introduction (M.B. Beck): 1.1. An Old Familiar Problem; 1.2. Embarking on a Change of Perspective; References; Chapter 2. We Have A Problem (M.B. Beck): 2.1. Limits to the Science Base; 2.2. Ripples Across the Community of Environmental Scientists; 2.3. Lake Erie and Eutrophication: Youthful Exuberance of Systems Ecology; 2.4. Surface Water Acidification: Insufficiency of a Physics-based Programme; 2.5. Tropospheric Ozone Control: Dynamics of Science and Policy out of Phase; 2.6. A Global Picture: Stabilising Greenhouse Gas Concentrations (and Stabilising Our Forecasts); 2.7. Science Base Changing Under Our Feet; References; Chapter 3. Beginnings of a Change of Perspective (M.B. Beck): 3.1. State Variables Masquerading as Parameters; 3.2. Reconciling Theory with Observation; 3.3. Erasing the Divide Between Past and Future; 3.4. A Knot of Constraints, Opportunities and Contradictions; References; Chapter 4. Structural Change: A Definition (M.B. Beck): 4.1. A Metaphor and Some Accompanying Conceptual Apparatus; 4.2. An Example; 4.3.The Nub of the Problem; References; Chapter 5. The Manifesto (M.B. Beck): 5.1. The Challenge; 5.2. Belief Networks: Generating the Feared Dislocations; 5.3. High-Order Models: Random Search and the Reachability of Target Future; 5.4. Evolving Clusters of Candidate Parameterisations; 5.5. Simplicity out of Complexity; 5.6. Parameterising Parametric Change; 5.7. Elasto-Plastic Deformation of the Structure; 5.8. Detecting and Forecasting Growth in the Seeds of Structural Change; 5.9. Probing the Shores of Ignorance; 5.10. Visualisation and Learning; 5.11. Foresight for Action; References; Chapter 6. Epilogue (M.B. Beck): 6.1. An Evolutionary Approach in Form; 6.2. Parametric Change as the Agent of Control; 6.3. Inclined to Survive (or Otherwise); References. PART II. CASE HISTORIES: Chapter 7. Lake Erie and Evolving Issues of the Quality of its Water (W.M. Schertzer and D.C.L. Lam): 7.1. Introduction; 7.2. Eutrophication: 7.2.1. Emerging Perception of a Problem; 7.2.2. Delayed Response: A Public Call to Arms; 7.2.3. Understanding the System: the {Known} versus Our {Ignorance}; 7.2.4. Synthesis: A Low-Order Model (LOM); 7.2.5. Formulating Policy: Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement (GLWQA); 7.2.6. And the Auditing of Policy; 7.2.7. Back to the Bench; 7.2.8. Towards Higher-Order Models (HOMs); 7.2.9. The Keys to Insight and understanding; 7.3....(more)" |
| schema:publisher | <https://jpsearch.go.jp/entity/ncname/Elsevier_Science_Ltd.> (➜ "Elsevier Science Ltd.") |
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| schema:temporal | <https://jpsearch.go.jp/entity/time/2002> (➜ "2002年") |